On July 16, a significant transaction occurred as Mt. Gox’s cold wallet moved 140,000 Bitcoin, valued at over $9 billion, within a span of three hours. 

This step is considered as a preparation to asset consolidation in expectation of forthcoming repayments. The move implies possible short-term market turbulence as lesser holdings, sometimes known as “paper hands” in the bitcoin ecosystem, could choose to sell off their Bitcoin.

Will Bitcoin Prices Plummet After Mt. Gox Repayments?

Despite these swings, the process of paying back debt may in fact generate only temporary changes in the value of Bitcoin.

Popular on-chain expert ZachXBT pointed out in a social media post that although first big transfers to centralized exchanges (CEX) could set off market reactions, intra-wallet transfers usually have no effect on the market.

He cited a similar situation where the German government stopped selling Bitcoin, allowing the price of the cryptocurrency to stabilize and finally climb from a major decline.

The analyst also noted that if the market recovers from the Mt. Gox repayments, it will offer a profitable chance for long-term Bitcoin investment, similar to the period following the German government’s stop of Bitcoin sales.

ZachXBT expects these events to eventually have little to no effect on prices, so sees the completion of the repayment process as the ideal moment for investors to boost their Bitcoin ownership.

Based on Bitstamp, Bitcoin’s price rose over 10.6% during the week before these events, landing at $63,484 by 11:02 am UTC. Rising from a four-month low of $53,550, this rebound represented a comeback.

Bitcoin tried to hit fresh highs as the market began on Wall Street on July 16, proving tenacity despite the large amounts exiting Mt. Gox’s frozen wallet.

Could This Be the Calm Before the Storm for Bitcoin?

Although the general attitude of the market was positive and Bitcoin tested higher pricing levels, some traders stayed wary. Credible Crypto reasoned that the recent price movement might either indicate a fresh bottom formation or perhaps a transient surge to gain momentum prior to a possible downturn.

Likewise, Daan Crypto Trades voiced worries about underlying weakness indicated by a return to the $59,000 to $60,000 region, even if it is a technically strong level.

Tradingview Bitcoin
Source: TradingView

Rekt Capital, on the other hand, highlighted the importance of Bitcoin recovering its Re-Accumulation Range, therefore signifying a good trend post the April halving.

Founder and CEO of MNTrading Michaël van de Poppe observed that after momentarily falling below, Bitcoin had recovered within its trading range. Still upbeat, he expects BTC to keep on its upward path toward all-time highs in the third quarter given the $60,000 level holds.

Besides, Kraken Exchange verified it was among the first to get money from the Mt. Gox Trustee. Ensuring a disciplined payback process among the continuous changes in the market, the platform revealed intentions to disburse Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash to creditors over the next seven to fourteen days.

Is This The Time to Buy or Sell?

With 140,000 Bitcoin transferred recently by Mt. Gox, valued at more than $9 billion, questions regarding possible market instability as creditors get ready for repayments have been raised.

Although analysts predict brief variations, some think the total influence will be negligible. In comparison to the scenario following the German government’s stop of Bitcoin sales, which resulted in price stabilization and ultimate recovery, some analysts see this as a buying opportunity.

Others still exercise caution, though, implying that the present price rise might be temporary before a possible downturn. 

In the end, how the market absorbs the significant flow of Bitcoin from Mt. Gox will determine both the reaction of the market and the future path of Bitcoin. It is difficult to project the reaction of the market to Mt. Gox’s large Bitcoin move.

For investors, though, fast and reliable information will be absolutely vital. Using reliable sources like Coinfomania will help greatly in negotiating this maybe explosive market.

Pedro Augusto

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Pedro Augusto is a financial writer and editor fluent in Portuguese and English, specializing in finance, economics, and investments. He holds degrees in Mechanical Engineering and Financial Management. Pedro is a financial analyst for stocks, ETFs, and macroeconomics on Seeking Alpha, a seasoned translator in the Forex market for companies like OctaFX and FBS, and experienced in localizing content for the currency exchange and international remittances market, notably for the Remitly startup. Additionally, he's a skilled writer and translator in the cryptocurrency and blockchain sector, working with firms like Phemex and Coinpanda.

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