How The Bitcoin Halving Will Impact The Famous Dogecoin (DOGE)

Blockchain monitoring service Whale Alert reported that an investor transferred 100 million Dogecoin (DOGE) from the trading platform Robinhood to an unknown wallet. At the time of this transaction, the value of the coins was approximately $15.25 million, which led to speculation about a potential increase in the cryptocurrency’s price.

Robinhood facilitates the exchange of cryptocurrencies for fiat currencies, and typically, deposits into the platform are associated with an intent to sell. However, since the transfer was to a wallet not linked to any exchange, it suggests that the investor may plan to hold the cryptocurrency for a period. Such transfers often result in a rise or stabilization of the cryptocurrency’s price in the market.

Historically, Prices of Meme coins Like Dogecoin Have Surged To Astronomical Values Months After The Halving

It’s still difficult to determine the potential outcome for Dogecoin as it anticipates changes in the post-Bitcoin (BTC) halving scenario. Historically, meme coins like Dogecoin have experienced significant price increases months following the halving. Currently, DOGE maintains a price of $0.1535, showing a 1.8% rise within 24 hours.

Nevertheless, on-chain analytics from Santiment suggest that this increase may be short-lived due to trends observed in the one-day circulation figures. At the time of reporting, Dogecoin’s circulation had escalated to 1.07 billion, indicating increased usage and reduced removal from the market.

Should this metric persist in rising, it could lead to a decrease in DOGE’s value. Conversely, the coin’s velocity presents an alternative perspective, currently standing at a value of 1.49.

Correlation Between Dogecoin And Bitcoin

A high velocity in cryptocurrency trading often reflects robust economic activity, as it shows that holders are actively spending their coins. Conversely, a decline in velocity, such as currently observed with Dogecoin (DOGE), indicates a hesitancy to spend.

In the short term, increased circulation could potentially drive DOGE’s price below $0.15. However, if the velocity remains low over the next few months, there could be a rally in DOGE’s price, with potential targets ranging from $0.20 to $0.25.

Dogecoin’s relationship with Bitcoin was analyzed to determine if DOGE’s price movements might align with BTC’s in the upcoming weeks. According to Macroaxis, the 90-day correlation coefficient between the two cryptocurrencies stands at 0.94, on a scale where -1 indicates no correlation and +1 indicates a strong correlation.

Despite this correlation, Dogecoin has outperformed Bitcoin, yielding 1.66 times the return of BTC over the past three months if the same amount were invested in both.

Looking ahead, this trend may continue. If Bitcoin’s price falls, Dogecoin could potentially see an even steeper decline. Conversely, a significant surge in Bitcoin’s price could trigger a substantial rally in Dogecoin, reminiscent of the surge observed last March.

The Absorption Of 21.74 Billion DOGE Could Kick-Start Its Uptrend

Recent analysis from IntoTheBlock suggests that Dogecoin (DOGE) may be on the brink of a significant price increase, potentially reaching its highest value ever. A key driver behind this potential surge is the accumulation of 21.74 billion DOGE within a price range of $0.1636 to $0.671.

This large amount of Dogecoin, distributed across 953,590 wallets, is currently resulting in losses for its holders. A resolution of this supply concentration could lead to a notable rise in DOGE’s market price.

However, experts warn that as this large volume of DOGE begins to move within its price corridor, it might generate selling pressure in the market. Currently, DOGE is trading at $0.1535, with a record high of $0.74, indicating significant room for growth.

The volume under consideration is just a small portion of the total Dogecoin market. Statistics show that 5.13 million addresses control 122.75 billion DOGE, which accounts for 81.05% of all Dogecoin addresses. Although this widespread ownership underpins the meme-based cryptocurrency’s market stability, it could also lead to increased selling pressure.

Amidst these market dynamics, on-chain indicators point to a possible new price peak for DOGE. However, there is ongoing speculation in the Dogecoin community about how factors like investor sentiment and broader market conditions might affect its future price trajectory.

Doge Day 4/20/24 is TOMORROW! 🐕 pic.twitter.com/OlYoQnEasl

— Tesla Model Ðoge (@TeslaModelDoge) April 19, 2024

Another factor that could kick-start the Dogecoin’s uptrend is the informal celebration known as DOGE Day on April 20. The date was humorously chosen by the crypto community to honor Dogecoin, though the exact reasons for this choice are ambiguous. Speculation suggests a connection to Elon Musk, for whom April 20 is reportedly a significant date.

Long-time observers of the cryptocurrency sector recognize that Tesla’s CEO is a prominent advocate for Dogecoin. Also, over the last two years, the price of DOGE has experienced several increases coinciding with this date.